KEY RATING DRIVERS
The rating affirmation considers the solid capital position of PRA's operating subsidiaries, as well as their consistent profitability, low financial leverage, and strong reserve experience. In addition, PRA has a track record of prudent use of capital, claims management, and reserve processes. These characteristics are generally supportive of a higher rating per Fitch guidelines.
Offsetting these positives is the company's historical concentration of operations in the volatile medical professional liability (MPLI) line of business. Recent acquisitions, particularly of Eastern Insurance and Syndicate 1729 both done in 2014, have diversified premiums such that as of
While there are potential benefits from a more diversified product mix, there is uncertainty regarding the ultimate competitive profile and operating success of disparate operating segments particularly in regards to size, scale, and product distribution advantages.
PRA reported a calendar year GAAP combined ratio of 93.2% as
On an accident year basis, the company reported a 110.7% combined ratio for the nine months ended
MPLI follows a unique underwriting cycle to other commercial insurance lines. Industry premium volumes are shrinking due to fundamental market changes and price competition. Health care providers are moving from independent and smaller group practices towards employment with hospitals and large medical groups. This shift is changing purchase and coverage preferences for MPLI. Large groups are more likely to self-insure and use captive or alternative risk programs, reducing demand for primary MPLI coverage.
Fitch believes there are few companies in the traditional MPLI space that can respond to these trends. In particular, the trend to service larger and multi-state clients which can be an advantage to PRA.
The MPLI market includes many monoline MPLI writers that experienced strong capital growth in the last hard market and have limited underwriting opportunities outside of MPLI. Efforts to deploy capital by MPLI specialists is dampening market pricing and will restrict any potential for improving market conditions going forward.
Within Fitch's rating rationale are multiple rating triggers. If PRA were to materially deviate from any of these items, especially for an extended period, the ratings could be affected.
The following is a list of triggers that could lead to a downgrade of the debt rating and IDR:
--A sustained increase in financial leverage above 15%;
--A sustained reduction in earnings based interest coverage below 12x.
The following is a list of triggers that could lead to a downgrade of all ratings:
--An increase in financial leverage above 25% or decline in operating earnings-based coverage below 7x;
--Material adverse reserve development;
--An increase in the company's GAAP operating leverage of 1.0x or higher;
--A Prism capital model score below 'Strong' (currently 'Extremely Strong').
The following is a list of triggers that could lead to an upgrade:
--An improvement in market position size/scale while maintaining profitability.
FULL LIST OF RATING ACTIONS
Fitch affirmed the following ratings with a Stable Outlook:
--IDR at 'A-';
Fitch has affirmed the IFS rating of the following companies at 'A' with a Stable Outlook:
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
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James Auden, CFA
Email: [email protected]
Source: Fitch Ratings