On fast track with his fastball
By David Murphy, Philadelphia Daily News | |
McClatchy-Tribune Information Services |
This brings us to the words
"He can command his fastball," said Wolever, the
That Nola can do both of those things right now is why he was the obvious pick. Not because the
If Wolever's words are accurate -- and almost all of the nonpartisan scouts and analysts who study this kind of stuff agree with him -- then Nola belongs as a member of the lowest risk pool of the draft. To a health insurance company, he is a 21-year-old nonsmoker from
Nola can locate his fastball, and that fastball has decent movement, and decent velocity, and now the only questions are whether he can stay healthy, and whether he can develop his secondary pitches into a top-of-the-rotation repertoire.
"We don't have to project a lot, because it's already there," Wolever said.
If that sounds like a more promising prognosis than those made after recent first rounds, it should. That's the difference between picking in the top 10 and picking where the
The legitimate quibble with the
Point is, there are ways to estimate the risk a team takes when it drafts a certain type of player from a certain type of place with a certain selection in the draft, so the
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