Field Poll: Swearengin trails Yee by 14 percentage points in controller’s race
By John Ellis, The Fresno Bee | |
McClatchy-Tribune Information Services |
Bay Area Democrat
The results aren't very surprising, said
"It's all about the arithmetic, and the Republicans right now don't have the kind of arithmetic that makes them viable to beat a Democrat in this state," Jeffe said.
On the other hand,
"That seems to have impacted the results," he said. "For state controller, ballot titles are key to vote results."
He also said the poll was run in mid-August -- just ahead of the
That wasn't long after the Swearengin campaign touted two polls -- one of them commissioned by the campaign itself -- showing she was in a competitive race with Yee.
"With the expected low turnout, we believe we're in a good position to win this race," Clark said.
Still, the results reflect quite a turnaround for Yee, who got off to a bit of a late fall campaign start after her main primary election opponent, former Assembly Speaker
The poll also marks a different reality for Swearengin when she is pitted one-on-one against a
In an April Field Poll, Swearengin led both Yee and Pérez, who were both better-known Democratic candidates. That poll, which came just as the primary campaign was heating up, confirmed Swearengin as one of the
But with Gov.
The voters are sleepwalking a bit as we approach the election," DiCamillo said.
That's causing somewhat predictable readings for most of the constitutional offices, many of which have not been held by a Republican in more than a decade in a state where registered Democrats far outnumber Republicans.
Democratic Lt. Gov.
Controller
"These races are basically invisible, and a lot of the voters are going to make the judgment in the partisan races on the basis of party ID," Jeffe said.
With Secretary of State
While many handicappers are again expecting Democrats to score a clean sweep, DiCamillo said, Peterson is "someone who could potentially win. The atmospherics, at least, seem to give him a shot."
The marque matchup of the fall ballot could be
Both are in a statistical dead heat with 55 days to go before the
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