|By Jim Sanders, The Sacramento Bee|
|McClatchy-Tribune Information Services|
People or families who buy insurance for themselves could see rate increases of up to 30 percent.
Millman consulting group performed the analysis, but the scope was limited to the individual market, meaning about 5 million Californians who do not receive insurance through their employers.
Millions of low-income Californians will see their costs plummet while costs rise for households where incomes exceed about
Comparisons are skewed somewhat by stiffer coverage requirements for next year's plans, but the bottom line is that the poor are likely to pay significantly less than they do now while middle-class families dig deeper into pocketbooks.
"Our top priority is to provide Californians with affordable health insurance options, and we are pleased that most individuals will pay lower rates and receive better coverage," said
"It's a perfect example of a reform measure that in my mind is falling apart," Logue said. "I don't think it's sustainable. It's going to be a drag on our economy and standard of living. Health care costs will rise and the quality will go down."
Under the federal health care law, nearly all Californians must purchase health insurance or pay a penalty of
A variety of health plans will be offered next year, varying in costs and deductibles, but all must cover "essential benefits" ranging from preventive care to emergency services, lab services, maternity care, vision care and prescription drugs.
Lee emphasized that the study is based on estimates and assumptions that can change as strategies are developed for lowering costs.
Of the 30 percent increase in premiums for middle-class families next year, about one-third is due to hikes that would have occurred without the health care law, the study said.
Even middle-class families whose premiums rise stand to benefit next year because health care changes limit out-of-pocket expenses and guarantee coverage even to people with pre-existing health conditions.
No longer will families risk bankruptcy because of a catastrophic illness or accident, Lee said.
"That's a game-changer," he said.
Age, geography and the type of coverage purchased also can raise or lower rates for a
To show how premiums will differ based on income, the Millman study contained a comparison of costs for a single individual to buy a basic level of health insurance coverage, the "bronze plan," with relatively high deductibles.
The lower the income, the higher the federal subsidy for purchasing insurance, with individuals having to foot the bill entirely once their annual income exceeds roughly 400 percent of the federal poverty level, about
For the bronze plan, estimated at