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TOWER GROUP, INC. - 10-Q/A - Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

January 16, 2013
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Note on Forward-Looking Statements


Some of the statements under "Risk Factors," "Management's Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations," "Business" and
elsewhere in this Form 10-Q may include forward-looking statements that reflect
our current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These
statements include forward-looking statements both with respect to us
specifically and to the insurance sector in general. Statements that include the
words "expect," "intend," "plan," "believe," "project," "estimate," "may,"
"should," "anticipate," "will" and similar statements of a future or
forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements for purposes of the
Federal securities laws or otherwise.

All forward-looking statements address matters that involve risks and
uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could
cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these
statements. We believe that these factors include, but are not limited to, those
described under "Risk Factors" and the following:



• ineffectiveness or obsolescence of our business strategy due to changes in

     current or future market conditions;



• developments that may delay or limit our ability to enter new markets as

     quickly as we anticipate;



• increased competition on the basis of pricing, capacity, coverage terms or

     other factors;




•    greater frequency or severity of claims and loss activity, including as a

result of natural or man-made catastrophic events, than our underwriting,

reserving or investment practices anticipate based on historical experience

     or industry data;




•   the effects of acts of terrorism or war;




•    developments in the world's financial and capital markets that could
     adversely affect the performance of our investments;



• changes in regulations or laws applicable to us, our subsidiaries, brokers or

     customers;



• changes in acceptance of our products and services, including new products

     and services;



• changes in the availability, cost or quality of reinsurance and failure of

     our reinsurers to pay claims timely or at all;



• changes in the percentage of our premiums written that we cede to reinsurers;




•   decreased demand for our insurance or reinsurance products;



• loss of the services of any of our executive officers or other key personnel;




•   the effects of mergers, acquisitions or divestitures;




•   changes in rating agency policies or practices;




•   changes in legal theories of liability under our insurance policies;




•   changes in accounting policies or practices;



• changes in general economic conditions, including inflation, interest rates

A history of strength, stability and growth. See the Future.

     and other factors;



• disruptions in Tower's business arising from the integration of acquired

     businesses into Tower and the anticipation of potential or pending
     acquisitions or mergers; and



• currently pending or future litigation or governmental proceedings.



The foregoing review of important factors should not be construed as exhaustive
and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements that are
included in this Form 10-Q. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or
review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information,
future developments or otherwise.

If one or more of these or other risks or uncertainties materialize, or if our
underlying assumptions prove to be incorrect, actual results may vary materially
from what we project. Any forward-looking statements you read in this Form 10-Q
reflect our views as of the date of this Form 10-Q with respect to future events
and are subject to these and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating
to our operations, results of operations, growth strategy and liquidity. All
subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or
individuals acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by
this paragraph. Before making an investment decision, you should specifically
consider all of the factors identified in this Form 10-Q that could cause actual
results to differ.



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Overview


Tower, through its subsidiaries, offers a broad range of commercial, specialty
and personal property and casualty insurance products and services to businesses
in various industries and to individuals throughout the United States. We
provide coverage for many different market sectors, including non-standard risks
that do not fit the underwriting criteria of standard risk carriers due to
factors such as type of business, location and premium per policy. We provide
these products on both an admitted and excess and surplus ("E&S") basis (under
NAIC rules).

The Company operates three business segments: Commercial Insurance, Personal Insurance and Insurance Services. Each of these segments is described below.


Our Commercial Insurance segment offers property and casualty insurance products
through several business units that serve customers in general commercial and
specialty markets. Our commercial lines products include commercial
multiple-peril (provides both property and liability insurance), monoline
general liability (insures bodily injury or property damage liability),
commercial umbrella, monoline property (insures buildings, contents or business
income), workers' compensation, fire and allied lines, inland marine, commercial
automobile policies and assumed reinsurance.

Our Personal Insurance segment offers a broad range of products designed to fit
the insurance needs of most personal lines customers. This segment includes the
business written in the Reciprocal Exchanges. Our personal lines products
consist of homeowners, personal automobile and umbrella policies. In the first
quarter of 2012, Tower sold one of its insurance subsidiaries to the Reciprocal
Exchanges. As a result, the Reciprocal Exchanges have expanded their licensing
and increased their capacity to write business.

In our Insurance Services segment, we generate management fees primarily from
the services provided by management companies to the Reciprocal Exchanges and
other fees generated by the managing general agencies.

Operating Income

A history of strength, stability and growth. See the Future.


Operating income excludes realized gains and losses and acquisition-related
transaction costs, net of tax. This is a common measurement for property and
casualty insurance companies. We believe this presentation enhances the
understanding of our results of operations by highlighting the underlying
profitability of our insurance business. Additionally, these measures are a key
internal management performance standard.

The following table provides a reconciliation of operating income to net income
on a GAAP basis. The operating income is used to calculate operating earnings
per share and operating return on average equity:



                                                Three Months Ended                    Six Months Ended
                                                     June 30,                             June 30,
                                             2012                                  2012
($ in thousands)                          (restated)            2011            (restated)           2011
Operating income                          $   (17,313 )     $      25,692       $     3,305       $    45,198
Net realized gains (losses) on
investments, excluding
gains (losses) attributable to
Reciprocal Exchanges                            1,676              (2,857 )           1,028             5,380
Acquisition-related transaction costs            (720 )                 -            (1,982 )             (12 )
Income tax                                       (452 )             1,572                 5            (1,882 )

Net income attributable to Tower
Group, Inc.                               $   (16,809 )     $      24,407       $     2,356       $    50,928


Critical Accounting Estimates


As of June 30, 2012, there were no material changes to our critical accounting
estimates; refer to the Company's 2011 Annual Report on Form 10-K for a complete
discussion of critical accounting estimates.

Critical Accounting Policies

See "Note 3-Accounting Policies and Basis of Presentation" for information related to updated accounting policies.

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Consolidating Supplemental Information


The following tables present the consolidating financial statements as of
June 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011 and for the three and six months ended
June 30, 2012 and 2011:



                                                              June 30, 2012, as restated
                                                             Reciprocal        Elimin-
($ in thousands)                              Tower           Exchanges         ations             Total
Assets
Investments
Available-for-sale investments, at fair
value:
Fixed-maturity securities                 $   2,060,802      $   299,172     $          -      $   2,359,974
Equity securities                               128,490            7,903                -            136,393
Short-term investments                                -                -                -                  -
Other invested assets                           129,533                -          (77,200 )           52,333
Total investments                             2,318,825          307,075          (77,200 )        2,548,700
Cash and cash equivalents                       192,099            6,906                -            199,005
Investment income receivable                     37,519            3,078          (13,364 )           27,233
Premiums receivable                             363,432           42,791             (808 )          405,415
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses           21,503            1,799           (4,226 )           19,076
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid
losses                                          281,959           28,979           (9,318 )          301,620
Prepaid reinsurance premiums                     39,272           16,611             (192 )           55,691
Deferred acquisition costs, net                 172,749           12,758                -            185,507
Intangible assets                               103,772            7,146                -            110,918
Goodwill                                        245,548                -                -            245,548
Funds held by reinsured companies               133,968                -                -            133,968
Other assets                                    297,622            2,981          (16,344 )          284,259
Total assets                              $   4,208,268      $   430,124     $   (121,452 )    $   4,516,940
Liabilities                                           -                -                -                  -

Loss and loss adjustment expenses $ 1,568,286$ 142,865

A history of strength, stability and growth. See the Future.

  $     (9,318 )    $   1,701,833
Unearned premium                                823,048          103,600             (192 )          926,456
Reinsurance balances payable                      9,543            9,909           (5,034 )           14,418
Funds held under reinsurance agreements          91,142                -                -             91,142
Other liabilities                               224,846           40,929          (29,908 )          235,867
Deferred income taxes                            26,546           19,287                -             45,833
Debt                                            448,291           77,000          (77,000 )          448,291
Total liabilities                             3,191,702          393,590         (121,452 )        3,463,840
Stockholders' equity
Common stock                                        468                -                -                468
Treasury stock                                 (181,324 )              -                -           (181,324 )
Paid-in-capital                                 775,542            8,826            8,826            775,542
Accumulated other comprehensive income           76,675           18,769          (18,769 )           76,675
Retained earnings                               343,204            8,939           (8,939 )          343,204
Noncontrolling interests                          2,001                0           36,534             38,535
Total stockholders' equity                    1,016,566           36,534                -          1,053,100
Total liabilities and stockholders'
equity                                    $   4,208,268      $   430,124     $   (121,452 )    $   4,516,940




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                                                                     December 31, 2011
                                                               Reciprocal          Elimin-
($ in thousands)                             Tower             Exchanges            ations              Total
Assets
Investments
Available-for-sale investments, at
fair value:
Fixed-maturity securities                $    2,153,620      $      300,054     $            -      $    2,453,674
Equity securities                                87,479               1,866                  -              89,345
Short-term investments                                -                   -                  -                   -
Other invested assets                           121,547                   -            (77,200 )            44,347
Total investments                             2,362,646             301,920            (77,200 )         2,587,366
Cash and cash equivalents                       113,432                 666                  -             114,098
Investment income receivable                     33,842               2,978            (10,038 )            26,782
Premiums receivable                             382,261              44,171                  -             426,432
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses           18,233               6,326               (656 )            23,903
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid
losses                                          308,411              20,134             (8,881 )           319,664
Prepaid reinsurance premiums                     39,352              14,685                  -              54,037
Deferred acquisition costs, net                 156,992              11,866                  -             168,858
Intangible assets                               110,081               4,839                  -             114,920
Goodwill                                        245,548                   -                  -             245,548
Funds held by reinsured companies                69,755                   -                  -              69,755
Other assets                                    320,460               1,410            (15,575 )           306,295
Total assets                             $    4,161,013      $      408,995     $     (112,350 )    $    4,457,658
Liabilities
Loss and loss adjustment expenses        $    1,495,839      $      145,155     $       (8,881 )    $    1,632,113
Unearned premium                                790,185             102,991                  -             893,176
Reinsurance balances payable                     17,328               4,122               (656 )            20,794
Funds held under reinsurance
agreements                                       96,726                   -                  -              96,726
Other liabilities                               279,766              35,441            (25,813 )           289,394
Deferred income taxes                            18,468              18,907                  -              37,375
Debt                                            426,901              77,000            (77,000 )           426,901
Total liabilities                             3,125,213             383,616           (112,350 )         3,396,479
Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                        465                   -                  -                 465
Treasury stock                                 (158,185 )                 -                  -            (158,185 )
Paid-in-capital                                 772,938               7,048             (7,048 )           772,938
Accumulated other comprehensive income           63,053              12,840            (12,840 )            63,053
Retained earnings                               355,528               5,491             (5,491 )           355,528
Noncontrolling interests                          2,001                   -             25,379              27,380
Total stockholders' equity                    1,035,800              25,379                  -           1,061,179
Total liabilities and stockholders'
equity                                   $    4,161,013      $      408,995     $     (112,350 )    $    4,457,658




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                                                                                              Three Months Ended June 30,
                                                                 2012 (restated)                                                              2011
                                                           Reciprocal         Elimina-                                            Reciprocal         Elimina-
($ in thousands)                           Tower           Exchanges           tions             Total             Tower           Exchanges          tions             Total
Revenues
Net premiums earned                     $   417,612       $     42,541      

$ - $ 460,153$ 342,789$ 50,741 $

      -       $   393,530
Ceding commission revenue                     6,855              3,225                -            10,080             7,707             1,548                -             9,255
Insurance services revenue                    9,324                  -           (7,965 )           1,359             7,631                 -           (7,704 )             (73 )
Policy billing fees                           2,871                129                -             3,000             2,512               147                -             2,659
Net investment income                        30,268              3,177           (1,664 )          31,781            30,419             3,051           (1,672 )          31,798
Total net realized investment gains
(losses)                                        110                129                -                19            (2,857 )             543                -            (2,314 )
Total revenues                              466,820             49,201           (9,629 )         506,392           388,201            56,030           (9,376 )         434,855
Expenses
Loss and loss adjustment expenses           322,842             26,933                -           349,775           213,680            26,876                -           240,556
Direct and ceding commission expense         87,024              8,162                -            95,186            69,413             6,484                -            75,897
Other operating expenses                     72,533             13,532           (7,965 )          78,100            63,303            14,761           (7,704 )          70,360
Acquisition-related transaction
costs                                           720                  -                -               720                 -                 -                -                 -
Interest expense                              7,902              1,664           (1,664 )           7,902             8,225             1,672           (1,672 )           8,225
Total expenses                              491,021             50,291           (9,629 )         531,683           354,621            49,793           (9,376 )         395,038
Income (loss) before income taxes           (24,201 )           (1,090 )              -           (25,291 )          33,580             6,237                -            39,817
Income tax expense (benefit)                 (7,392 )           (1,527 )              -            (8,919 )           9,173             3,538                -            12,711
Net income (loss)                       $   (16,809 )     $        437      

$ - $ (16,372 ) $ 24,407$ 2,699 $

      -       $    27,106
Ratios
Net calendar year loss and LAE                 77.3 %             63.3 %                             76.0 %            62.3 %            53.0 %                             61.1 %
Net underwriting expenses                      33.9 %             43.1 %                             34.8 %            33.1 %            38.5 %                             33.8 %
Net Combined                                  111.2 %            106.4 %                            110.8 %            95.4 %            91.5 %                             94.9 %

Return on Average Equity                       -6.5 %                                                                   9.3 %




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                                                                                                             Six Months Ended June 30,
                                                                            2012 (restated)                                                                   2011
                                                                     Reciprocal          Elimina-                                                Reciprocal          Elimina-
($ in thousands)                                    Tower            Exchanges             tions              Total              Tower            Exchanges            tions              Total
Revenues
Net premiums earned                              $   796,281        $     

84,030 $ - $ 880,311$ 677,326$ 95,999 $ - $ 773,325 Ceding commission revenue

                              8,933               6,310                  -             15,243             15,924              2,912                  -             18,836
Insurance services revenue                            16,683                   -            (14,827 )            1,856             14,928                  -            (14,399 )              529
Policy billing fees                                    5,873                 261                  -              6,134              4,546                291                  -              4,837
Net investment income                                 62,525               6,526             (3,327 )           65,724             59,932              6,395             (3,326 )           63,001
Total net realized investment gains (losses)           1,028               2,319                  -              3,347              5,380               (334 )                -              5,046
Total revenues                                       891,323              99,446            (18,154 )          972,615            778,036            105,263            (17,725 )          865,574
Expenses
Loss and loss adjustment expenses                    566,091              51,177                  -            617,268            430,418             50,604                  -            481,022
Direct and ceding commission expense                 159,636              15,935                  -            175,571            134,953             17,058                  -            152,011
Other operating expenses                             143,529              26,469            (14,827 )          155,171            123,832             26,927            (14,399 )          136,360
Acquisition-related transaction costs                  1,982                   -                  -              1,982                 12                  -                  -                 12
Interest expense                                      16,513               3,327             (3,327 )           16,513             16,325              3,326             (3,326 )           16,325
Total expenses                                       887,751              96,908            (18,154 )          966,505            705,540             97,915            (17,725 )          785,730
Income (loss) before income taxes                      3,572               2,538                  -              6,110             72,496              7,348                  -             79,844
Income tax expense (benefit)                           1,216                (910 )                -                306             21,568                321                  -             21,889

Net income (loss)                                $     2,356        $      3,448        $         -        $     5,804        $    50,928        $     7,027        $         -        $    57,955
Ratios
Net calendar year loss and LAE                          71.1 %              60.9 %                                70.1 %             63.5 %             52.7 %                                62.2 %
Net underwriting expenses                               34.3 %              42.6 %                                35.1 %             32.9 %             42.5 %                                34.1 %
Net Combined                                           105.4 %             103.5 %                               105.2 %             96.4 %             95.2 %                                96.3 %

Return on Average Equity                                 0.5 %                                                                        9.7 %

Consolidated Results of Operations

Our results of operations are discussed below in two parts, consolidated results of operations and the results of each of our three segments.

Consolidated Results of Operations for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2012 and 2011


Total revenues. Total revenues increased by 16.5% and 12.4%, respectively for
the three and six months ended June 30, 2012 compared to the same periods in
2011. This increase is primarily attributed to the increases in earned premiums.

Premiums earned. Gross premiums earned for the three and six months ended
June 30, 2012 were $508.6 million and $971.7 million, respectively, and $445.8
million and $869.8 million for the same periods in 2011, respectively. These
increases of 14.1 % and 11.7 %, respectively, for the three and six month
periods are primarily a result of increased business in Tower's continuing
programs and assumed reinsurance lines in the Commercial Insurance segment.

Ceded premiums earned declined $3.9 million to $48.4 million for the three
months ended June 30, 2012 from $52.3 million in 2011. For the six months ended
June 30, 2012, ceded premiums earned were $91.4 million compared to $96.4
million for the same period in the prior year. Ceded premiums earned declined
from the prior year as Tower elected to not renew its liability quota share
reinsurance treaty in 2011. In 2011, we recorded earnings on the business ceded
in 2010. This decrease was offset by an increase in the percentage of homeowners
business ceded pursuant to the Company's homeowners quota share reinsurance
treaty in 2012. We also purchase excess per risk and catastrophe reinsurance for
all property lines.

Overall, net premiums earned increased $66.6 million and $107.0 million, respectively for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012 compared to the same period in 2011.


Commission and fee income. Commission and fee income, comprised of ceding
commission revenue, insurance services revenue and policy billing fees,
increased by $2.6 million and decreased by $1.0 million in the three and six
months ended June 30, 2012, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2011.
The increase for the three months ended June 30, 2012 is due to additional fees
earned by our managing general agencies. The decrease for the six months ended
June 30, 2012 is attributed to a reduction in the ceding commission revenue in
the first quarter 2012 resulting from a change in loss ratio on a prior year's
quota share treaties. The change in loss ratio resulted in a $2.9 million
reduction in our ceding commission revenue.



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Net investment income and net realized gains (losses). For the three months
ended June 30, 2012, net investment income remained relatively constant when
compared with the same period in 2011. For the six-month period ended June 30,
2012, net investment income increased $2.7 million, or 4.3%, due to an increase
in average cash and invested assets from the comparative period in 2011.
Operating cash invested in fixed income securities in 2012 and in 2011 has been
affected by an extended low interest rate environment. Investments in high-yield
securities and dividend paying equity securities continue to be made to help
maintain overall portfolio yield and to partially mitigate the impact of the
lower interest rate environment.

For the three months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, the net realized investment
gains (losses) included OTTI of $2.2 million and $0.2 million, respectively. The
OTTI in the second quarter of 2012 is driven primarily from the impairment of
one equity security for $1.5 million and one fixed-maturity security for $0.7
million. Net realized investment gains for the three months ended June 30, 2012
and 2011 also include net gains (losses) on the sale of securities for $19
thousand and $(2.3) million respectively. These gains and losses are a function
of individual securities selected for sale when cash needs arise in the ordinary
course of business or when market dictates disposals pursuant to our investment
policy.

For the six months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, the net realized investment
gains (losses) included OTTI of $5.0 million and $0.4 million, respectively. The
OTTI for the six months ended June 30, 2012 is related mostly to securities in
the Company's equity security portfolio. Net realized investment gains for the
six months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011 included net gains on the sale of
securities for $3.3 million and $5.0 million respectively.

Loss and loss adjustment expenses. The consolidated net loss ratio, which
includes the Reciprocal Exchanges, was 76.0% and 61.1% for the three months
ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively. Excluding the Reciprocal Exchanges,
the net loss ratio was 77.3% and 62.3% for the three months ended June 30, 2012
and 2011, respectively. The Reciprocal Exchanges' net loss ratio was 63.3% and
53.0% for the three months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively.

Incurred losses and LAE for the three months ended June 30, 2012 attributable to
insured events of prior years were $59.0 million. Excluding the Reciprocal
Exchanges, the incurred losses and LAE from prior accident years were $65.0
million. Excluding the Reciprocal Exchanges, there was net adverse loss
development of $62.1 million in the Commercial Insurance segment and $2.9
million in the Personal Insurance segment for the three months ended June 30,
2012.

The increase in estimates of prior years' loss and loss expenses was the result
of a comprehensive review of its loss reserves in the second quarter and
strengthened prior accident year reserves by $65 million following an analysis
of recent loss emergence that occurred during the first and second quarters of
2012. The reserve strengthening in the second quarter represents 4% of the
company's consolidated loss reserves (excluding the reserves that are carried by
the Reciprocal Exchanges).

The reserve strengthening relates primarily to unfavorable development in the
company's Commercial Insurance segment arising from changes in estimated
ultimate losses for accident years 2011 and prior. During the quarter Tower
conducted detailed reserve studies for all lines using loss data through the
first quarter of 2012 as well as reported claims during the second quarter,
including analysis of the source of unusually high reported loss emergence for
certain casualty lines, primarily workers' compensation and commercial
automobile, observed during the first quarter of 2012.

The Reciprocal Exchanges reported favorable development on prior accident years of $6.0 million during the three months ended June 30, 2012.


Commission and Operating expenses. Operating expenses, which include direct and
ceding commission expenses and other operating expenses, were $173.3 million for
the three months ended June 30, 2012, an increase of 18.5% over the prior year,
primarily due to increased business production and our ongoing efforts to
build-out our information technology infrastructure to support our policy
administration and claims processing needs. The net underwriting expense ratio
increased to 34.8% for the three months ended June 30, 2012 from 33.8% in 2011.

The consolidated gross underwriting expense ratio increased to 33.4% for the
three months ended June 30, 2012 from 32.3% in the same period in 2011. The
commission portion of the gross underwriting expense ratio increased to 18.7%
for the three month period June 30, 2012 compared to 17.2% in 2011. This
increase is attributed to the increase in assumed reinsurance business written,
which charges a higher commission rate. In addition, in 2012 management revised
its estimates in the allocation of operating expenses between unallocated loss
adjustment expense and other underwriting expenses ("OUE") which resulted in a
greater percentage assigned to OUE. The gross OUE ratio, which includes boards,
bureaus and taxes ("BB&T"), was 14.7% for the three months ended June 30, 2012
compared to 15.1% in the prior year.

For the six months ended June 30, 2012, operating expenses were $330.7 million
compared to $288.4 million for the six months ended June 30, 2011, for an
increase of $42.3 million or 14.7%. This change is due to increased business
production and our



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ongoing efforts to build-out our information technology infrastructure to support our policy administration and claims processing needs. The net underwriting expense ratio increased to 35.1% for the six months ended June 30, 2012 from 34.1% in 2011.


The consolidated gross underwriting expense ratio increased to 33.3% for the six
months ended June 30, 2012 from 32.6% in the same period in 2011. The commission
portion of the gross underwriting expense ratio increased to 18.0% for the six
month period June 30, 2012 compared to 17.6% in 2011. This increase is
attributed to the increase in assumed reinsurance business written, which
charges a higher commission rate. In addition, in 2012 management revised its
estimates in the allocation of operating expenses between unallocated loss
adjustment expense and OUE which resulted in a greater percentage assigned to
OUE. The gross OUE ratio was 15.3% for the six months ended June 30, 2012
compared to 15.0% in the prior year.

Acquisition-related transaction costs. Acquisition-related transaction costs for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012 were $0.7 and $2.0 million, respectively. These costs were negligible for the same periods in 2011.


Interest expense. Interest expense decreased by $0.3 million and increased by
$0.2 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012, respectively,
compared to the same periods in 2011.

Income tax expense. Tower uses the effective tax rate method in computing its
interim tax provision. For the three months ended June 30, 2012, the effective
tax rate on net income (loss) before income taxes was 30.7%, which resulted in
an income tax benefit for the period of $8.9 million, compared to an income tax
expense of $11.0 million and related effective tax rate of 28.4% for the same
period in 2011.

In the six months ended June 30, 2012, the consolidated effective tax rate for
the six months ended June 30, 2012 was 29.6% compared to 30.1% for the same
period in 2011. The change in effective tax rate from 2011 to 2012 is due to the
relatively small amount of pre-tax income in 2012.

Net income (loss) and return on average equity. Net (loss) attributable to Tower
Group, Inc. and annualized return on average equity were $(16.8) million and
(6.5)% for the three months ended June 30, 2012 compared to net income of $24.4
million and annualized return on average equity of 9.3% for the same period in
2011. The return on average equity is calculated by dividing net income by
average stockholders' equity. Average stockholders' equity was $1,038.0 million
and $1,044.8 million at June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The net loss and
decline in annualized return on equity for the three months ended June 30, 2012
is primarily due to reserve strengthening in the second quarter of 2012.

Net income attributable to Tower Group, Inc. and annualized return on average
equity were $2.4 million and 0.5% for the six months ended June 30, 2012
compared to net income of $50.9 million and annualized return on average equity
of 9.7% for the six months ended June 30, 2011. The decline in net income and
annualized return on equity is primarily due to reserve strengthening of $78.3
million recorded for Tower Group, Inc. in 2012 compared to prior year
strengthening of $7.6 million recorded in 2011.



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Commercial Insurance Segment Results of Operations



                                                        Three Months Ended June 30,                                       Six Months Ended June 30,
                                                                                                            2012
($ in thousands)                           2012             2011            Change         Percent       (restated)          2011            Change         Percent
Net premiums written                    $   343,748      $   295,521      $    48,227          16.3 %    $   663,953      $   546,642      $   117,311          21.5 %
Revenues
Net premiums earned                     $   337,650      $   263,735      $    73,915          28.0 %    $   635,485      $   515,503      $   119,982          23.3 %
Ceding commission revenue                     3,894            3,310              584          17.6 %          3,904            8,728           (4,824 )       -55.3 %
Policy billing fees                           1,390            1,114              276          24.8 %          2,903            1,878            1,025          54.6 %
Total revenue                               342,934          268,159           74,775          27.9 %        642,292          526,109          116,183          22.1 %
Expenses
Net loss and loss adjustment expenses       281,209          166,307        

114,902 69.1 % 482,647 331,087 151,560

         45.8 %
Underwriting expenses
Direct commission expenses                   66,539           49,457           17,082          34.5 %        122,669           99,446           23,223          23.4 %
Other underwriting expenses                  47,415           37,255           10,160          27.3 %         94,427           73,849           20,578          27.9 %
Total underwriting expenses                 113,954           86,712           27,242          31.4 %        217,096          173,295           43,801          25.3 %
Underwriting profit (loss)              $   (52,229 )    $    15,140      $ 

(67,369 ) -445.0 % $ (57,451 ) $ 21,727 $ (79,178 ) -364.4 %

Ratios

Net calendar year loss and LAE                 83.3 %           63.1 %                                          75.9 %           64.2 %
Net underwriting expenses                      32.2 %           31.2 %                                          33.1 %           31.6 %
Net combined                                  115.5 %           94.3 %                                         109.0 %           95.8 %

Commercial Insurance Segment Results of Operations for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2012 and 2011


Premiums. Gross premiums written for the three months ended June 30, 2012 were
$369.8 million compared to $315.9 million during the same period in 2011. The
increase in the three months ended June 30, 2012 of $53.9 million is primarily
attributable to growth in our assumed reinsurance business which accounted for
$27.0 million of the increase compared to the same period in 2011. Gross
premiums earned were $358.6 million for the three month period ended June 30,
2012 as compared to $286.0 million during the same period 2011. The increase in
gross premiums earned is a result of the increased writings in our assumed
reinsurance and customized solutions products over the last twelve months.

Gross premiums written for the six months ended June 30, 2012 were $706.8
million compared to $578.9 million during the same period in 2011. The increase
in the six months ended June 30, 2012 of $127.9 million is primarily attributed
to growth in our continuing programs and assumed reinsurance which accounted for
$51.0 million and $68.8 million of the increase compared to the same period
2011. Gross premiums earned were $674.6 million for the six month period ended
June 30, 2012 as compared to $562.5 million during the same period 2011.

Ceded premiums written for the three months ended June 30, 2012 increased to
$26.0 million from $20.3 million for the three months ended June 31, 2011. The
Company reinsures through quota share treaties premiums written on certain of
its program business. In addition, we also purchase excess per risk and
catastrophe reinsurance for all property lines. Ceded earned premiums were $20.9
million and $22.2 million for the three month periods ended June 30, 2012 and
2011, respectively.

Ceded premiums written for the six months ended June 30, 2012 were $42.8 million
compared to $32.2 million for the six months ended June 30, 2011. Ceded premiums
earned were $39.1 million compared to $47.0 million for the six month periods
ended June 30, 2012. The Company reinsures through quota share treaties premiums
written on certain of its program business. In addition, we also purchase excess
per risk and catastrophe reinsurance for all property lines.

The increases in net premiums written and earned for the three and six months
ended June 30, 2012 compared to the same periods in 2011 are attributable to
both the increase in gross written premiums offset set slightly by the effects
in ceded premiums, as discussed above.

Renewal retention rate excluding programs was 78.4% and 77.9% for the three and
six months ended June 30, 2012 compared to 77.4% and 77.4% during the same
period in 2011. Premiums on renewed commercial business, other than programs,
increased 4.2% and 3.5% for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012.
Excluding programs, policies-in-force for our commercial business, which is
predominantly small business, increased 1.3% as of June 30, 2012.

Ceding commission revenue. Ceding commission revenue increased by $0.6 million
and decreased by $4.8 million, respectively for the three and six months ended
June 30, 2012 compared to the same periods in 2011, primarily due to the
non-renewal of the liability quota share program in 2011. The three and six
month periods in 2011 had earned ceded commission revenue on some of the
business ceded in 2010 under this treaty. There were no such ceded commissions
earned in 2012. In addition, we recognized a change in loss ratio on a prior
year's quota share treaty which reduced ceding commission revenue by $2.4
million during the six month period



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ended June 30, 2012 compared to an unfavorable ceded commission revenue adjustment of $0.9 million during the same period in 2011.


Net loss and loss adjustment expenses. The net calendar year loss ratios were
83.3% and 63.1% for the three months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively.
The accident year loss ratios for the three months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011
were 64.9% and 61.3%, respectively.

The net calendar year loss ratios were 75.9% and 64.2% for the six months ended
June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The accident year loss ratios for the six
months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011 were 64.3% and 61.7%, respectively.

Management's estimates of prior years' loss and loss expenses were increased by
$62.1 million for the three months and $74.0 million for the six months ended
June 30, 2012. The increase in prior accident year loss and LAE in the quarter
was the result of a comprehensive review of its loss reserves in the first and
second quarters of 2012 and strengthened prior accident year reserves following
an analysis of recent loss emergence that occurred during the quarter.

The reserve strengthening relates primarily to unfavorable development in the
company's Commercial Insurance segment arising from changes in estimated
ultimate losses for accident years 2011 and prior. During the quarter Tower
conducted detailed reserve studies for all lines using loss data through the
first quarter of 2012 as well as reported claims during the second quarter,
including analysis of the source of unusually high reported loss emergence for
certain casualty lines, primarily workers' compensation and commercial
automobile, observed during the first quarter of 2012. The increase in prior
accident year ultimate loss and LAE was comprised of $39 million in workers
compensation and $22 million in commercial automobile liability. The reserve
development was attributable mostly to programs, many of which are terminated
and in runoff.

Underwriting expenses. Underwriting expenses, which include direct commissions
and other underwriting expenses, increased by $27.2 million and $43.8 million,
or 31.4% and 25.3%, for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012,
respectively, compared to the same period in 2011. The net underwriting expense
ratio increased 1.0 and 1.5 percentage points for the three and six months ended
June 30, 2012 and 2011.

The gross underwriting expense ratio was 31.4% and 31.8% for the three and six
months ended June 30, 2012 compared to 29.9% and 30.5% in the same periods in
2011. The commission portion of the gross underwriting expense ratio, which is
expressed as a percentage of gross premiums earned, was 18.6% and 18.2% for the
three and six months ended June 30, 2012 compared to 17.3% and 17.7% for the
same periods in 2011. The increase is primarily due to the assumed reinsurance
business which has a higher commission ratio. The OUE ratio, including BB&T, was
12.8% and 13.6% for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012 compared to
12.6% and 12.8% for the same periods in 2011. The increase in the OUE ratio is
primarily a result of ongoing efforts by us to build-out our information
technology infrastructure to support our policy administration and claims
processing needs.

Underwriting loss and combined ratio. The underwriting loss and combined ratio for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012 moved unfavorably from the underwriting gain and combined ratio in the same periods in the prior year. These changes are due primarily to the increase in loss and loss adjustment expenses described above.




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Personal Insurance Segment Results of Operations



                                                                                               Three Months Ended June 30,
                                                                    2012                                              2011
                                                                Reciprocal                                        Reciprocal
($ in thousands)                                  Tower          Exchanges          Total           Tower          Exchanges          Total          Change       Percent
Net premiums written                            $   97,865      $    44,620 

$ 142,485$ 88,344$ 45,130$ 133,474$ 9,011

           6.8 %

Revenues

Net premiums earned                             $   79,962      $    42,541 

$ 122,503$ 79,055$ 50,740$ 129,795 $ (7,292 ) -5.6 % Ceding commission revenue

                            2,961            3,225            6,186           4,414            1,531            5,945           241           4.1 %
Policy billing fees                                  1,481              129            1,610           1,398              147            1,545            65           4.2 %
Total revenue                                       84,404           45,895          130,299          84,867           52,418          137,285        (6,986 )        -5.1 %
Expenses
Net loss and loss adjustment expenses               41,633           26,933           68,566          47,373           26,876           74,249        (5,683 )        -7.7 %
Underwriting expenses
Direct commission expenses                          20,486            8,162           28,648          20,333            6,465           26,798         1,850           6.9 %
Other underwriting expenses                         15,804           14,607           30,411          18,062           14,641           32,703        (2,292 )        -7.0 %
Total underwriting expenses                         36,290           22,769           59,059          38,395           21,106           59,501          (442 )        -0.7 %
Underwriting profit (loss)                      $    6,481      $    (3,807 

) $ 2,674 $ (901 ) $ 4,436$ 3,535 $ (861 ) -24.4 %

Ratios

Net calendar year loss and LAE                        52.1 %           63.3 %           56.0 %          59.9 %           53.0 %           57.2 %
Net underwriting expenses                             39.8 %           45.6 %           41.8 %          41.2 %           38.3 %           40.1 %
Net combined                                          91.9 %          108.9 %           97.8 %         101.1 %           91.3 %           97.3 %




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Personal Insurance Segment Results of Operations (continued)




                                                                                                   Six Months Ended June 30,
                                                               2012 (restated)                                         2011
                                                                 Reciprocal                                         Reciprocal
($ in millions)                                    Tower          Exchanges          Total            Tower          Exchanges          Total           Change         Percent
Net premiums written                            $   165,251      $    82,713      $   247,964      $   156,613      $    85,758      $   242,371            5,593           2.3 %
Revenues
Net premiums earned                             $   160,796      $    84,030      $   244,826      $   161,824      $    95,998      $   257,822          (12,996 )        -5.0 %
Ceding commission revenue                             5,029            6,310           11,339            7,214            2,894           10,108            1,231          12.2 %
Policy billing fees                                   2,970              261            3,231            2,668              291            2,959              272           9.2 %
Total revenue                                       168,795           90,601          259,396          171,706           99,183          270,889          (11,493 )        -4.2 %
Expenses
Net loss and loss adjustment expenses                83,444           51,177          134,621           99,331           50,604          149,935          (15,314 )       -10.2 %
Underwriting expenses
Direct commission expenses                           36,967           15,935           52,902           35,629           17,039           52,668              234           0.4 %
Other underwriting expenses                          32,465           27,544           60,009           33,982           26,673           60,655             (646 )        -1.1 %
Total underwriting expenses                          69,432           43,479          112,911           69,614           43,712          113,323             (412 )        -0.4 %
Underwriting profit (loss)                      $    15,919      $    

(4,055 ) $ 11,864$ 2,764$ 4,867$ 7,631

$ 4,233 55.5 %

Ratios

Net calendar year loss and LAE                         51.9 %           60.9 %           55.0 %           61.4 %           52.7 %           58.2 %
Net underwriting expenses                              38.2 %           43.9 %           40.2 %           37.0 %           42.4 %           39.0 %
Net combined                                           90.1 %          104.8 %           95.2 %           98.4 %           95.1 %           97.2 %

Personal Insurance Segment Results of Operations for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2012 and 2011


Premiums. Gross premiums written for the three months ended June 30, 2012 were
$167.9 million compared to $152.1 million in 2011, an increase of $15.8 million,
or 10.4%. This increase is primarily attributed to the acquisition of personal
lines renewal rights resulting in $15.2 million of written premium in the second
quarter of 2012 and an increase in homeowners business offset by a decline in
monoline automobile policies. Gross premiums earned declined $9.9 million to
$150.0 million for the three months ended June 30, 2012 from $159.9 million for
the same period in the prior year. This decline is due primarily to the
reduction from certain monoline automobile policies the Company has elected to
not renew during the last year. This decline was offset by earnings of $2.5
million from the renewal rights premiums discussed above.

Gross premiums written for the six months ended June 30, 2012 were $298.2
million compared to $278.7 million in 2011, for an increase of $19.5 million, or
7.0%. This increase is primarily attributed to the acquisition of personal lines
renewal rights resulting in $15.2 million of written premium in the second
quarter of 2012 and an increase in homeowners business offset by a decline in
monoline automobile policies. Gross premiums earned declined $10.1 million to
$297.1 million for the six months ended June 30, 2012 from $307.2 million for
the same period in the prior year. This decline is due primarily to the
reduction certain monoline automobile policies the Company has elected to not
renew during the last year. This decline was offset by earnings of $2.5 million
of the renewal rights premiums discussed above.

Ceded premiums written for the three months ended June 30, 2012 were $25.4
million, an increase of $6.8 million compared to $18.6 million in 2011. The
Company reinsures a portion of its homeowners and umbrella business through
quota share reinsurance treaties. The Company also purchased catastrophe
reinsurance for certain property business. The increase in 2012 is attributed to
increasing the percentage of business ceded pursuant to the homeowners quota
share treaty. Ceded premiums earned decreased $2.5 million to $27.5 million for
the three months ended June 30, 2012 from $30.1 million for the same period in
the prior year.

Ceded premiums written for the six months ended June 30, 2012 were $50.2
million, an increase of $13.9 million compared to $36.3 million in 2011. The
Company reinsures the majority of its homeowners and umbrella business through
quota share reinsurance treaties. The Company also purchased catastrophe
reinsurance for certain property business. The increase in 2012 is attributed to
increasing the percentage of business ceded pursuant to the homeowners quota
share treaty. Ceded premiums earned increased $2.9 million to $52.3 million for
the six months ended June 30, 2012 from $49.4 million for the same period in the
prior year.

Net premiums written for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012 increased
$9.0 million and $5.6 million net premiums earned for the three and six months
ended June 30, 2012 decreased $7.3 million and $13.0 million compared to the
same periods in 2011. These changes are attributed to the gross and ceded
premium changes discussed above.



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Our personal lines renewal retention was 92.0% and 86.5% for the three months
ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively. Personal lines renewal retention was
91.0% and 84.2% for the six months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively.
Written premiums on renewed business increased by 2.6% and 2.8% during the three
and six months ended June 30, 2012, respectively. Policies-in-force remained
relatively constant from December 31, 2011 to June 30, 2012, decreasing by only
0.5%.

Ceding commission revenue. Ceding commission revenue remained stable from the three and six months ended June 30, 2011 to the three months ended June 30, 2012, increasing only $0.2 million and $1.2 million, respectively.


Net loss and loss adjustment expenses. For Personal Insurance, the net calendar
year loss ratios were 56.0% and 57.2% for the three months ended June 30, 2012
and 2011, respectively. The accident year loss ratios for the three months ended
June 30, 2012 and 2011 were 58.5% and 64.7%, respectively. The net calendar year
loss ratios were 55.0% and 58.2% for the six months ended June 30, 2012 and
2011, respectively. The accident year loss ratios for the six months ended
June 30, 2012 and 2011 were 55.8% and 64.5%, respectively. Estimates of prior
accident year loss and loss adjustment expenses decreased by $3.0 million and
$2.0 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012, respectively.

For Tower personal lines, excluding the Reciprocal Exchanges, the net calendar
year loss ratios were 52.1% and 59.9% for the three months ended June 30, 2012
and 2011, respectively. The accident year loss ratios for the three months ended
June 30, 2012 and 2011 were 48.4% and 66.5%, respectively. The net calendar year
loss ratios were 51.9% and 61.4% for the six months ended June 30, 2012 and
2011, respectively. The accident year loss ratios for the six months ended
June 30, 2012 and 2011 were 49.2% and 64.9%, respectively. There was net adverse
loss development of $2.9 million and $4.3 million for the three and six months
ended June 30, 2012, respectively. The adverse development for the six months
ended June 30, 2012 was comprised of $3.6 million in Homeowners, and $0.3
million in Private Passenger Automobile.

The Reciprocal Exchanges' net calendar year loss ratios were 63.3% and 53.0% for
the three months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The accident year
loss ratios for the three months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011 were 77.3% and
62.0%, respectively. The net calendar year loss ratios were 60.9% and 52.7% for
the six months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The accident year
loss ratios for the six months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011 were 68.3% and
64.0%, respectively. Estimates of prior accident year loss and loss adjustment
expenses decreased by $6.0 million and $6.3 million for the three and six months
ended June 30, 2012, respectively.

Underwriting expenses. Underwriting expenses, which include direct commissions
and other underwriting expenses, decreased $0.4 million and $0.4 million, or
0.7% and 0.4%, for the three and six months ended ending June 30, 2012,
respectively, compared to the same period in 2011. The net underwriting expense
ratio increased 1.7 percentage points from the three month period ended June 30,
2011 to 2012. The net underwriting expense ratio increased 1.2 percentage points
from the six month period ended June 30, 2011 to 2012.

The gross underwriting expense ratio was 38.3% and 36.3% for the three months
ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The commission portion of the gross
underwriting expense ratio was 19.1% and 16.8% for the three months ended
June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The gross OUE ratio, which includes BB&T,
was 19.2% and 19.5% for the three months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011,
respectively.

The gross underwriting expense ratio was 36.9% and 36.0% for the six months
ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The commission portion of the gross
underwriting expense ratio was 17.8% and 17.1% for the six months ended June 30,
2012 and 2011, respectively. The gross OUE ratio, which includes BB&T, was 19.1%
and 18.9% for the six months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively.

Underwriting profit and combined ratio. Personal Insurance segment underwriting
profit declined $0.9 million and the combined ratio increased by 0.5 percentage
points for the three months ended June 30, 2012 compared to June 30, 2011 due to
reserve strengthening in the second quarter of 2012.

Underwriting profit increased $4.2 million and the combined ratio improved 2.0
percentage points from the six months ended June 30, 2011 to June 30, 2012 due
to 2011 severe storms.



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Insurance Services Segment Results of Operations



                                                   Three Months Ended June 30,                                 Six Months Ended June 30,
($ in thousands)                         2012          2011          Change        Percent          2012           2011         Change        Percent
Revenue
Management fee income                  $   7,965     $   7,704      $     261           3.4 %    $   14,827     $   14,399     $     428           3.0 %
Other revenue                              1,359           (73 )        1,432            NM           1,856            529         1,327         250.9 %
Total revenue                              9,324         7,631          1,693          22.2 %        16,683         14,928         1,755          11.8 %
Expenses                                                                                                  -
Other expenses                             5,079         4,977            102           2.0 %         9,542         10,018          (476 )        -4.8 %
Total expenses                             5,079         4,977            102           2.0 %         9,542         10,018          (476 )        -4.8 %

Insurance services pre-tax income $ 4,245$ 2,654$ 1,591 59.9 % $ 7,141$ 4,910$ 2,231 45.4 %

NM is shown where percentage change exceeds 500%

Insurance Services Segment Results of Operations for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2012 and 2011


Total revenue. Total revenues for the three months ended June 30, 2012 increased
$1.7 million, or 22.2%, from the Insurance Services revenues compared to the
same period in the prior year. This increase is primarily related to certain fee
income earned by our managing general agencies for business placed with other
insurers. The management fee income for the six months ended June 30, 2012 was
consistent with the revenues earned for the six months ended June 30, 2011.

Total expenses. Insurance Services segment expenses for the three and six months
ended June 30, 2012 remained relatively constant compared to the expenses for
the same period ended June 30, 2011. Most of these expenses are associated with
providing services pursuant to the management services agreement between Tower
and the Reciprocal Exchanges.



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Investments

Portfolio Summary

The following table presents a breakdown of the amortized cost, aggregate fair
value and unrealized gains and losses by investment type as of June 30, 2012 and
December 31, 2011:



                                            Cost or           Gross             Gross Unrealized Losses                              % of
                                           Amortized       Unrealized      Less than 12        More than 12           Fair           Fair
($ in thousands)                             Cost             Gains           Months              Months              Value          Value
June 30, 2012
U.S. Treasury securities                 $     120,783     $     1,591     $          (7 )    $            -      $     122,367         4.9 %
U.S. Agency securities                          77,690           3,592                 -                   -             81,282         3.3 %
Municipal bonds                                742,736          54,076              (431 )                (4 )          796,377        31.8 %
Corporate and other bonds                      681,114          41,198            (1,183 )              (239 )          720,890        28.9 %
Commercial, residential and
asset-backed securities                        595,694          44,360              (392 )              (604 )          639,058        25.6 %
Total fixed-maturity securities              2,218,017         144,817            (2,013 )              (847 )        2,359,974        94.5 %
Equity securities                              133,525           6,263            (3,228 )              (167 )          136,393         5.5 %
Total, June 30, 2012                     $   2,351,542     $   151,080     $      (5,241 )    $       (1,014 )    $   2,496,367       100.0 %
Tower                                    $   2,063,859     $   131,351     $      (4,959 )    $         (959 )    $   2,189,292
Reciprocal Exchanges                           287,683          19,729              (282 )               (55 )          307,075
Total, June 30, 2012                     $   2,351,542     $   151,080     $      (5,241 )    $       (1,014 )    $   2,496,367
December 31, 2011
U.S. Treasury securities                 $     154,430     $     1,725     $         (13 )    $            -      $     156,142         6.1 %
U.S. Agency securities                         114,411           2,779                 -                   -            117,190         4.6 %
Municipal bonds                                688,192          48,777              (255 )                 -            736,714        29.0 %
Corporate and other bonds                      750,220          34,466            (6,813 )              (150 )          777,723        30.6 %
Commercial, residential and
asset-backed securities                        627,859          42,167            (3,529 )              (592 )          665,905        26.2 %
Total fixed-maturity securities              2,335,112         129,914           (10,610 )              (742 )        2,453,674        96.5 %
Equity securities                               93,034           1,395            (4,838 )              (246 )           89,345         3.5 %
Total                                    $   2,428,146     $   131,309     $     (15,448 )    $         (988 )    $   2,543,019       100.0 %
Tower                                    $   2,138,001     $   118,173     $     (14,160 )    $         (915 )    $   2,241,099
Reciprocal Exchanges                           290,145          13,136            (1,288 )               (73 )          301,920
Total, December 31, 2011                 $   2,428,146     $   131,309     $     (15,448 )    $         (988 )    $   2,543,019

Credit Rating of Fixed-Maturity Securities

The average credit rating of our fixed-maturity securities, using ratings assigned to securities by Standard & Poor's, was A+ at June 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011. The following table shows the ratings distribution of our fixed-maturity portfolio:




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                                                       Tower                        Reciprocal Exchanges
                                                              Percentage                          Percentage
                                                               of Fair                             of Fair
($ in thousands)                            Fair Value          Value           Fair Value          Value
June 30, 2012
Rating
U.S. Treasury securities                  $      113,905              5.5 %    $       8,462              2.8 %
AAA                                              190,072              9.2 %           47,907             16.0 %
AA                                               934,512             45.5 %           95,042             31.8 %
A                                                412,453             20.0 %           94,596             31.6 %
BBB                                              190,418              9.2 %           25,109              8.4 %
Below BBB                                        219,442             10.6 %           28,056              9.4 %
Total                                     $    2,060,802            100.0 %    $     299,172            100.0 %
December 31, 2011
Rating
U.S. Treasury securities                  $      151,621              7.0 %    $       4,521              1.5 %
AAA                                              189,431              8.8 %           49,316             16.4 %
AA                                               930,436             43.3 %           98,017             32.8 %
A                                                459,353             21.3 %          105,696             35.2 %
BBB                                              208,552              9.7 %           12,728              4.2 %
Below BBB                                        214,227              9.9 %           29,776              9.9 %
Total                                     $    2,153,620            100.0 %    $     300,054            100.0 %

Fixed-Maturity Investments with Third Party Guarantees


At June 30, 2012, $214.6 million of our municipal bonds, at fair value, were
guaranteed by third parties from a total of $2.4 billion, at fair value, of all
fixed-maturity securities held by us. The amount of securities guaranteed by
third parties along with the credit rating with and without the guarantee is as
follows:



                                            With           Without
                 ($ in thousands)        Guarantee        Guarantee
                 AA                     $    164,954     $    147,310
                 A                            40,485           56,000
                 BBB                           8,436            3,398
                 BB                              677            3,098
                 No underlying rating              -            4,746
                 Total                  $    214,552          214,552
                 Tower                  $    208,662     $    208,662
                 Reciprocal Exchanges          5,890            5,890
                 Total                  $    214,552     $    214,552

The guaranteed securities, by guarantor, are as follows:



                                                 Guaranteed       Percent of
       ($ in thousands)                            Amount           Total
       National Public Finance Guarantee Corp   $     83,124            

38.7 %

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp                77,853            

36.3 %

Ambac Financial Corp                           38,294            

17.8 %

Berkshire Hathaway Assurance Corp               6,701             
3.1 %
       Others                                          8,580              4.1 %
       Total                                    $    214,552            100.0 %
       Tower                                    $    208,662             97.3 %
       Reciprocal Exchanges                            5,890              2.7 %
       Total                                    $    214,552            100.0 %




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Municipal Bonds

As of June 30, 2012, our municipal bonds consisted of state general obligations, municipal general obligations and special revenue bonds. Municipal bonds by state at June 30, 2012 are as follows:




                          State General                Municipal General
                           Obligations                    Obligations               Special Revenue Bonds                   Total
                    Amortized         Fair         Amortized         Fair         Amortized         Fair          Amortized         Fair
($ in thousands)      Cost            Value           Cost          Value           Cost            Value           Cost            Value
Texas              $    25,010     $    26,557     $    7,013     $    7,853     $    99,006     $   106,335     $   131,029     $   140,745
New York                11,553          12,608          7,758          8,318          63,908          68,557          83,219          89,483
California               7,614           8,091          1,800          1,807          36,013          39,416          45,427          49,314
Florida                 14,827          16,129          7,600          8,058          17,258          18,075          39,685          42,262
Washington              11,888          13,103          5,823          6,179          15,031          16,239          32,742          35,521
Arizona                  4,867           5,436              -              -          25,597          27,230          30,464          32,666
Indiana                  2,966           3,330          1,760          1,771          25,695          27,298          30,421          32,399
Massachusetts                -               -          1,009          1,020          27,331          29,785          28,340          30,805
Illinois                10,399          11,231          3,350          3,611          10,802          11,824          24,551          26,666
Wisconsin               11,955          12,309          5,195          5,704           5,338           6,128          22,488          24,141
Other                   62,205          65,611         28,722         30,378         183,443         196,386         274,370         292,375
Total              $   163,284     $   174,405     $   70,030     $   74,699     $   509,422     $   547,273     $   742,736     $   796,377


No one jurisdiction within "Other" in the table above exceeded 3% of the total
fair value of municipal bonds. As of June 30, 2012, the special revenue bonds
are supported primarily by water and sewer utilities, electric utilities,
college revenues and highway tolls.

Fair Value Consideration


Under GAAP, fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an
asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market
participants (an "exit price"). GAAP establishes a fair value hierarchy that
distinguishes between inputs based on market data from independent sources
("observable inputs") and a reporting entity's internal assumptions based upon
the best information available when external market data are limited or
unavailable ("unobservable inputs"). The fair value hierarchy in GAAP
prioritizes fair value measurements into three levels based on the nature of the
inputs. Quoted prices in active markets for identical assets have the highest
priority ("Level 1"), followed by observable inputs other than quoted prices
including prices for similar but not identical assets or liabilities ("Level
2"), and unobservable inputs, including the reporting entity's estimates of the
assumption that market participants would use, having the lowest priority
("Level 3").

As of June 30, 2012, substantially all of the investment portfolio recorded at
fair value was priced based upon quoted market prices or other observable
inputs. For investments in active markets, we used the quoted market prices
provided by the outside pricing services to determine fair value. In
circumstances where quoted market prices were unavailable, we used fair value
estimates based upon other observable inputs including matrix pricing, benchmark
interest rates, market comparables and other relevant inputs. When observable
inputs were adjusted to reflect management's best estimate of fair value, such
fair value measurements are considered a lower level measurement in the GAAP
fair value hierarchy.

Our process to validate the market prices obtained from the outside pricing
sources includes, but is not limited to, periodic evaluation of model pricing
methodologies and analytical reviews of certain prices. We also periodically
perform testing of the market to determine trading activity, or lack of trading
activity, as well as market prices. Several securities sold during the quarter
were "back-tested" (i.e., the sales price is compared to the previous month end
reported market price to determine reasonableness of the reported market price).

The ability to observe stable prices and inputs may be reduced for
highly-customized and illiquid instruments which had been the case for certain
non-agency residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and
asset-backed securities in previous periods. At June 30, 2012, two securities
included in other invested assets were priced in Level 3 with a fair value of
$25.0 million.

As more fully described in "Note 5 - Investments" to our consolidated financial
statements, "Investments-Impairment Review," we completed a detailed review of
all our securities in a continuous loss position, including but not limited to
residential and



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commercial mortgage-backed securities, and concluded that the unrealized losses
in these asset classes are the result of a decrease in value due to technical
spread widening and broader market sentiment.

"Note 6 - Fair Value Measurements" to the consolidated financial statements
provides a description of the valuation methodology utilized to value Level 3
assets, how the valuation methodology is validated and an analysis of the change
in fair value of Level 3 assets. As of June 30, 2012, the fair value of Tower
Level 3 assets as a percentage of Tower's total assets carried at fair value was
as follows (the Reciprocal Exchanges had no Level 3 assets):



                                                                                             Level 3 Assets
                                          Assets Carried at                                as a Percentage of
                                            Fair Value at           Fair Value of         Total Assets Carried
($ in thousands)                            June 30, 2012           Level 3 Assets            at Fair Value
Fixed-maturity investments               $         2,359,974       $              -                           0 %
Equity investments                                   136,393                      -                           0 %

Total investments available for sale $ 2,496,367 $

      -                           0 %
Other invested assets                                 25,000                 25,000                         100 %
Cash and cash equivalents                            199,005                      -                           0 %
Total                                    $         2,720,372       $         25,000                         0.9 %


Unrealized Losses

The fair value of our fixed maturity portfolio is directly affected by changes in interest rates and credit spreads. We regularly review both our fixed-maturity and equity portfolios to evaluate the necessity of recording impairment losses for other-than temporary declines in the fair value of investments.


For those fixed-maturity investments deemed not to be in an OTTI position, we
believe that the gross unrealized investment loss was primarily caused by
purchases made in a lower yield environment. We expect cash flows from
operations to be sufficient to meet our liquidity requirements and, therefore,
we do not intend to sell these fixed maturity securities and we do not believe
that we will be required to sell these securities before recovering their cost
basis. For equity securities not considered OTTI, we believe we have the ability
to hold these investments until a recovery of fair value to our cost basis.

The following table presents information regarding our invested assets that were
in an unrealized loss position at June 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011 by amount
of time in a continuous unrealized loss position:



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                                             Less than 12 Months             12 Months or Longer                     Total
                                            Fair         Unrealized          Fair        Unrealized        Aggregate      Unrealized
($ in thousands)                            Value          Losses           Value          Losses         Fair Value        Losses
June 30, 2012
U.S. Treasury securities                 $    65,714     $        (7 )    $        -     $         -      $    65,714     $        (7 )
Municipal bonds                               41,456            (431 )           990              (4 )         42,446            (435 )
Corporate and other bonds
Finance                                       22,784            (169 )           752             (46 )         23,536            (215 )
Industrial                                    46,687            (990 )         6,465            (191 )         53,152          (1,181 )
Utilities                                      3,425             (24 )           394              (2 )          3,819             (26 )
Commercial mortgage-backed securities         16,036            (138 )        16,053            (438 )         32,089            (576 )
Residential mortgage-backed securities
Agency backed                                 21,134            (134 )            21               -           21,155            (134 )
Non-agency backed                                  6              (3 )         2,666            (121 )          2,672            (124 )
Asset-backed securities                       12,333            (117 )         1,680             (45 )         14,013            (162 )
Total fixed-maturity securities              229,575          (2,013 )        29,021            (847 )        258,596          (2,860 )
Preferred stocks                               6,263             (45 )         6,019            (112 )         12,282            (157 )
Common stocks                                 39,868          (3,183 )           913             (55 )         40,781          (3,238 )
Total, June 30, 2012                     $   275,706     $    (5,241 )    $   35,953     $    (1,014 )    $   311,659     $    (6,255 )
Tower                                    $   254,853     $    (4,959 )    $   34,232     $      (959 )    $   289,085     $    (5,918 )
Reciprocal Exchanges                          20,853            (282 )         1,721             (55 )         22,574            (337 )
Total, June 30, 2012                     $   275,706     $    (5,241 )    $   35,953     $    (1,014 )    $   311,659     $    (6,255 )

December 31, 2011
U.S. Treasury securities                 $    92,001     $       (13 )    $        -     $         -      $    92,001     $       (13 )
Municipal bonds                               13,449            (255 )             -               -           13,449            (255 )
Corporate and other bonds
Finance                                      138,986          (4,610 )           251              (5 )        139,237          (4,615 )
Industrial                                    57,357          (2,141 )         3,519            (145 )         60,876          (2,286 )
Utilities                                      1,902             (61 )             -               -            1,902             (61 )

Commercial mortgage-backed securities 26,130 (2,564 )

        -               -           26,130          (2,564 )
Residential mortgage-backed securities
Agency backed                                     19              (1 )            12               -               31              (1 )
Non-agency backed                             13,294            (318 )         4,609            (583 )         17,903            (901 )
Asset-backed securities                       29,624            (647 )           610              (9 )         30,234            (656 )
Total fixed-maturity securities              372,762         (10,610 )         9,001            (742 )        381,763         (11,352 )
Preferred stocks                              17,773            (644 )         1,303            (246 )         19,076            (890 )
Common stocks                                 44,132          (4,194 )             -               -           44,132          (4,194 )
Total, December 31, 2011                 $   434,667     $   (15,448 )    $   10,304     $      (988 )    $   444,971     $   (16,436 )
Tower                                    $   398,989     $   (14,160 )    $    8,264     $      (915 )    $   407,253     $   (15,075 )
Reciprocal Exchanges                          35,678          (1,288 )         2,040             (73 )         37,718          (1,361 )
Total, December 31, 2011                 $   434,667     $   (15,448 )    $   10,304     $      (988 )    $   444,971     $   (16,436 )

The following table shows the fair value, unrealized loss amount and percentage below amortized cost and the ratio of fair value by security rating as of June 30, 2012:




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                                                              Unrealized Loss

                                                                         Percent of                 Fair Value by Security Rating
                                            Fair                         Amortized                                                   BB or
($ in thousands)                           Value          Amount            Cost           AAA        AA         A        BBB        Lower
U.S. Treasury securities                 $   65,714     $       (7 )        

0 % 0% 100 % 0 % 0 % 0 % Municipal bonds

                              42,446           (435 )        

-1 % 27% 68 % 3 % 1 % 1 % Corporate and other bonds

                    80,507         (1,422 )        

-2 % 1% 0 % 15 % 26 % 58 % Commercial mortgage-backed securities 32,089

           (576 )        

-2 % 17% 17 % 37 % 14 % 15 % Residential mortgage-backed securities 23,827

           (258 )              -1 %        5%        90 %       1 %       0 %          4 %
Asset-backed securities                      14,013           (162 )              -1 %        4%        96 %       0 %       0 %          0 %
Equities                                     53,063         (3,395 )              -7 %        NR

NR indicates that equity securities are not rated

See "Note 5 - Investments" in our consolidated financial statements for further information about impairment testing and other-than-temporary impairments.

Liquidity and Capital Resources


Tower is organized as a holding company (the "Holding Company") with multiple
intermediate holding companies, 12 insurance subsidiaries and several management
companies. The Holding Company's principal liquidity needs include interest on
debt, stockholder dividends and share repurchases under its share repurchase
program. The Holding Company's principal sources of liquidity include dividends
and other permitted payments from our subsidiaries, as well as financing through
borrowings under our bank credit facility and sales of securities. Cash flows
from the management companies are not subject to restrictions.

As of June 30, 2012, the amount of distributions that our Insurance Subsidiaries
could pay to Tower without approval of their domiciliary Insurance Departments
was $25.9 million. In addition, we can return capital of $63.5 million from
CastlePoint Re without permission from the Bermuda Monetary Authority. No
dividends were paid from the Insurance Subsidiaries during the six months ended
June 30, 2012. CastlePoint Re made no payments to the Holding Company during the
six month period ended June 30, 2012.

The management companies are not subject to any statutory limitations on their
dividends to the Holding Company. The management companies paid no dividends to
the Holding Company during the six month period ended June 30, 2012.

We believe that the cash flow generated by the operating activities of our
subsidiaries, combined with other available capital sources, will provide
sufficient funds for us to meet our liquidity needs over the next twelve months.
Beyond the next twelve months, cash flow available to us may be influenced by a
variety of factors, including general economic conditions and conditions in the
insurance and reinsurance markets, as well as fluctuations from year-to-year in
claims experience.

We have the intent and ability to hold any temporarily impaired fixed maturity securities until the anticipated date that these temporary impairments are recovered.

Book Value per Common Share


Book value per common share represents Tower Group Inc. stockholders' equity
divided by the number of common shares outstanding. Management uses growth in
book value per common share as a key measure of the value generated for our
common shareholders each period and believes that book value per common share is
a key driver of TWGP's share price over time. Book value per common share is
impacted by, among other factors, our underwriting results, investment returns
and share repurchase activity, which has an accretive or dilutive impact on book
value per common share depending on the purchase price.



                                                    June 30,
                                                      2012December 31,

(in thousands, except per share data) (restated) 2011

Calculation of book value per common share:

Tower Group, Inc. stockholders' equity $ 1,014,565$ 1,033,799

    Common shares outstanding                            38,377            

39,221

    Book value per common share                   $       26.44     $      
26.36




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Capital


Our capital resources consist of funds deployed or available to be deployed to
support our business operations. At June 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011, our
capital resources were as follows:



                                                 June 30,
                                                   2012           December 31,
      ($ in thousands)                          (restated)            2011

Outstanding under credit facility $ 70,000 $ 50,000

      Convertible Senior Notes                       143,233            

141,843

      Subordinated debentures                        235,058            

235,058

Tower Group, Inc. stockholders' equity 1,014,565 1,033,799

      Total capitalization                     $   1,520,505      $   

1,460,700

      Ratio of debt to total capitalization             30.6 %            

29.2 %



We monitor our capital adequacy to support our business on a regular basis. The
future capital requirements of our business will depend on many factors,
including our ability to write new business successfully and to establish
premium rates and reserves at levels sufficient to cover losses. Our ability to
underwrite is largely dependent upon the quality of our claims paying and
financial strength ratings as evaluated by independent rating agencies. In
particular, we require (1) sufficient capital to maintain our financial strength
ratings, at a level considered necessary by management to enable our insurance
subsidiaries to compete, and (2) sufficient capital to enable our insurance
subsidiaries to meet the capital adequacy tests performed by statutory agencies
in the United States and Bermuda.

On February 15, 2012, we amended our $125.0 million credit facility by
increasing borrowing capacity up to $150 million, extending the maturity date
out to February 15, 2016, and resetting borrowing fees to more favorable current
market terms. The credit facility is used for general corporate purposes. The
original credit facility was entered into on May 14, 2010 and had an expiration
date of May 14, 2013

As part of Tower's capital management strategy, the Board of Directors of Tower
approved a $100 million share repurchase program on March 3, 2011. This
authorization is in addition to the $100 million share repurchase program
approved on February 26, 2010. Purchases under both programs can be made from
time to time in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions in
accordance with applicable laws and regulations. The new share repurchase
program will expire on March 4, 2013. The timing and amount of purchases under
the programs depend on a variety of factors, including the trading price of the
stock, market conditions and corporate and regulatory considerations. For the
three months ended June 30, 2012, there were 1.1 million shares of common stock
purchased under this program. As of 2012, $26.4 million remained available for
future share repurchases under the new program.

We may seek to raise additional capital or may seek to return additional capital
to our stockholders through share repurchases, cash dividends or other methods
(or a combination of such methods). Any such determination will be at the
discretion of our Board of Directors and will be dependent upon our profits,
financial requirements and other factors, including legal restrictions, rating
agency requirements, credit facility limitations and such other factors as our
Board of Directors deems relevant.

Cash Flows


The primary sources of consolidated cash flows are from the insurance
subsidiaries' gross premiums collected, ceding commissions from quota share
reinsurers, loss payments by reinsurers, investment income and proceeds from the
sale or maturity of investments. Funds are used by the insurance subsidiaries
for loss payments and loss adjustment expenses. The insurance subsidiaries also
use funds for ceded premium payments to reinsurers, which are paid on a net
basis after subtracting losses paid on reinsured claims and reinsurance
commissions on our net business, commissions to producers, salaries and other
underwriting expenses as well as to purchase investments, fixed assets and to
pay dividends to the Holding Company. The management companies' primary sources
of cash are management fees for acting as the attorneys-in-fact for the
Reciprocal Exchanges.

The reconciliation of net income to cash provided from operations is generally
influenced by the collection of premiums in advance of paid losses, the timing
of reinsurance, issuing company settlements and loss payments.

Cash flow and liquidity are categorized into three sources: (1) operating activities; (2) investing activities; and (3) financing activities, which are shown in the following table:




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                                                              Six Months Ended
                                                                 June  30,
 ($ in thousands)                                          2012             2011
 Cash provided by (used in):
 Operating activities                                   $    72,437      $    53,462
 Investing activities                                        30,058          (46,043 )
 Financing activities                                       (17,588 )        (34,289 )

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 84,907

(26,870 )

 Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of year               114,098         

140,221

 Cash and cash equivalents, end of period               $   199,005      $  

113,351

Comparison of Six Months Ended June 30, 2012 and 2011


For the six months ended June 30, 2012, net cash inflows provided by operating
activities were $72.4 million compared to $53.5 million for 2011. The increase
in cash flow for the six months ended June 30, 2012 is primarily due to
operating cash flow in 2011 being unusually low because of increased claim
payments resulting from the Northeast winter storms in the first quarter of
2011.

Net cash flows provided by investing activities were $30.1 million for the six
months ended June 30, 2012 compared to $46.0 million used for the six months
ended June 30, 2011. The increase in investing cash flows of $76.1 million is
almost entirely related to the liquidation of securities in anticipation of our
investment in Canopius Group, Ltd. of approximately $75 million. Additionally,
the six months ended June 30, 2012 and 2011 include an increase to fixed assets
of $19.4 million and $11.7 million, respectively, primarily related to the build
out of new systems. Other cash inflows and outflows in both years relates to
purchases and sales and maturities of fixed-maturity and equity securities.

The net cash flows used in financing activities for the six months ended
June 30, 2012 are primarily the result of use of cash for dividends of $14.7
million and the repurchase of common stock of $21.0 million, offset by increased
borrowings on our credit facility of $20.0 million. In 2011, we used cash for
the repurchase of common stock and dividend payments of $20.0 million and $12.9
million, respectively.

Cash flow needs at the holding company level are primarily for dividends to our stockholders, interest and principal payments on our outstanding debt and payments under the credit facility.

Insurance Subsidiaries


The insurance subsidiaries maintain sufficient liquidity to pay claims,
operating expenses and meet other obligations. We monitor the expected claims
payment needs and maintain a sufficient portion of our invested assets in cash
and cash equivalents to enable us to fund the claims payments without having to
sell longer-duration investments. As necessary, we adjust the holdings of
short-term investments and cash and cash equivalents to provide sufficient
liquidity to respond to changes in the anticipated pattern of claims payments.

The insurance subsidiaries are required by law to maintain a certain minimum
level of policyholders' surplus on a statutory basis. Policyholders' surplus is
calculated by subtracting total liabilities from total assets. The NAIC
maintains risk-based capital ("RBC") requirements for property and casualty
insurance companies. RBC is a formula that attempts to evaluate the adequacy of
statutory capital and surplus in relation to investments and insurance risks.
The formula is designed to allow the state Insurance Departments to identify
potential weakly capitalized companies. Under the formula, a company determines
its risk-based capital by taking into account certain risks related to the
insurer's assets (including risks related to its investment portfolio and ceded
reinsurance) and the insurer's liabilities (including underwriting risks related
to the nature and experience of its insurance business). Applying the RBC
requirements as of June 30, 2012, the insurance subsidiaries' risk-based capital
exceeded the minimum level that would trigger regulatory attention.

Inflation


Property and casualty loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are established
before we know the amount of losses and loss adjustment expenses or the extent
to which inflation may affect such amounts. We attempt to anticipate the
potential impact of inflation in establishing our loss and LAE reserves.
Inflation in excess of the levels we have assumed could cause loss and LAE
expenses to be higher than we anticipated.

Substantial future increases in inflation could also result in future increases
in interest rates, which in turn are likely to result in a decline in the market
value of the investment portfolio and cause unrealized losses or reductions in
stockholders' equity.



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Adoption of New Accounting Pronouncements

For a discussion of accounting standards, see "Note 3 - Accounting Policies and Basis of Presentation" of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

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