HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--
A.M. Best Co. has downgraded the financial strength rating to B-
(Fair) from B+ (Good) and issuer credit rating to “bb-” from “bbb-” of ACS
(NZ) Limited(New Zealand). Both ratings have been placed under
review with developing implications, which reflects the company’s
near-term regulatory risk.
These rating actions acknowledge ACS’ risk-adjusted capitalization and
its separation from Ecclesiastical Insurance Office plc(EIO)
(United Kingdom) as well as the potential vulnerability of ACS’ capital
position.
Following the recently approved Scheme of Arrangement, EIO has
strengthened ACS’ capital position. Also, EIO is providing additional
reinsurance cover (to extend the cover up to NZD 570 million) to extend
reinsurance protection for the February 2011 earthquake event.
However, ACS’ current risk-adjusted capitalization remains stressed as
reinsurance recoverable risk remains a significant drag. Adverse
development to the February 2011 earthquake cost estimates and slower
than anticipated claims settlements during the first half of 2012 have
resulted in a higher than anticipated level of reinsurance recoverable
risk as of June 30, 2012. ACS’ Scheme of Arrangement and the transfer of
its majority ownership away from EIO remove the likelihood of any
further financial support from EIO. This leaves ACS’ capital position
vulnerable to any further increases in claims estimates, especially if
these develop beyond ACS’ extended reinsurance coverage (NZD 570
million), which could weaken ACS’ ability to fully meet policyholder
claims. The company faces near-term regulatory risk. A.M. Best was
informed by ACS that it has yet to submit its final solvency
calculations as of June 30, 2012 to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand
(RBNZ). It remains to be seen whether the RBNZ will view ACS’ final
solvency calculations as compliant. A.M. Best has sighted the draft
calculations the company has lodged with the RBNZ. While these show a
positive regulatory solvency margin, it is thin and the RBNZ has
publicly voiced concerns on ACS’ regulatory solvency.
Partially offsetting these negative rating factors are anticipated cash
settlements by ACS of major claims by December 31, 2012, since the
company’s management recently informed A.M. Best that it reached
agreement on cash settlement amounts (totaling around NZD 366 million)
with major policyholders. This could lead to a significant reduction in
reinsurance recoverable risk by December 31, 2012 and an improvement in
risk-adjusted capitalization. Also, an agreed cash settlement of major
claims would reduce the impact and likelihood of any further adverse
claims cost development and would help to protect the company’s capital
position.

Developments that could result in negative rating actions include
negative regulatory action, a slower than anticipated reduction in ACS’
reinsurance recoverable risk and erosion of its capital position.
The methodology used in determining these ratings is Best’s Credit
Rating Methodology, which provides a
comprehensive explanation of A.M. Best’s rating process and contains the
different rating criteria employed in the rating process. Key criteria
utilized include: “Understanding Universal BCAR.” Best’s Credit Rating
Methodology can be found at www.ambest.com/ratings/methodology.
Founded in 1899, A.M. Best Company is the world's oldest and most
authoritative insurance rating and information source. For more
information, visit www.ambest.com.
Copyright © 2012 by A.M. Best Company, Inc.ALL RIGHTS
RESERVED.

A.M. Best Co.
Chi-Yeung Lok, +852-2827-3414
Financial
Analyst
chi-yeung.lok@ambest.com
or
Moungmo
Lee, +852-2827-3402
General Manager
moungmo.lee@ambest.com
or
Rachelle
Morrow, +(1) 908 439 2200, ext. 5378
Senior Manager, Public
Relations
rachelle.morrow@ambest.com
or
Jim
Peavy, +(1) 908 439 2200, ext. 5644
Assistant Vice
President, Public Relations
james.peavy@ambest.com
Source: A.M. Best Co.
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